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February 25, 2005
Baathists: Syrian vs. Iraqi
Tom Holsinger makes a very interesting observation about the demographics of Syria's ruling class (via Winds of Change):
The real drawback here, IMO, is that there might not be a replacement regime, i.e., 1980's Lebanese type chaos, for a while. Syria's Alawite minority (Shiite-related - about 10% of the population) has been dominant for many years (the Assad clan are Alawites) and is violently unpopular. There is a fair chance of it suffering genocidal massacre and ethnic cleansing at the hands of the Sunni majority when the Alawites lose power.
Hmmm...so Iraq has a Shiite majority and was until recently under the boot of a Sunni minority dictatorship; and Syria has a Sunni majority and is now (hopefully for the time being) under the boot of a Shiite related minority. So this means that the Baathists in Iraq are Sunni, and their Baathist cohorts in Syria are Alawite/Shiite? Evidently I have much to learn about the Baathists.
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