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July 19, 2005
Zarqawi: Losing The Endgame?
Bill Roggio over at The Fourth Rail has some good analysis of Zarqawi's latest strategy pronouncements. Bill concludes that Zarqawi is increasingly aware that he has failed in his fight to sway Iraqi public opinion in his favor; he now seems to be focusing on keeping secular Sunni factions from joining the legitimate government.
Bill goes on to document that although one of Zarqawi's most effective allies remains the mainstream western media, in the time-honored fashion of demented leaders (see Hitler vs. his generals) he has expressed hostility toward media friendly to him.
I agree with Bill that positive events are accumulating an inertia, however fitful, and that Zarqawi senses that an accelerating juggernaught of democratic Islam might well crush the life out of his murderous ambitions.
Despite al Qaeda’s best efforts to control the message, and sympathies in certain media corners, particularly in the Arab media, Zarqawi is giving signals that he is not in control. And for good reason. The enthusiasm of the recent election, the low opinion of the insurgency in Iraq (and a particularly low opinion of al Qaeda), the willingness of Muslims to enlist to fight in the security services, the relatively low numbers of foreign fighters entering Iraq, the progress being made in creating a constitution and a host of other political and economic successes (all documented by Arthur Chrenkoff) show al Qaeda is not appealing to the masses of the Muslim.
This is what happens when your grand strategy is predicated only on terrorism, religious fanaticism and oppressive rule.
Tell me again, why is fighting for the destruction of this guy such a heinous mistake?
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