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March 13, 2006
A Nuclear Iran: Passive Resignation Won't Cut It
Pam over at Atlas Shrugs noticed this article in which former UN weapons inspector David Kay seems to resigned to let a nuclear-armed Iran dictate the future of the Middle East (all emphases mine):
"I'm afraid that we probably are past the point where there is any meaningful alternative other than military action to stop the Iranians if they are determined to go ahead. And I don't see that as a possibility," said David Kay, who led the US search for weapons of mass destruction in Iraq following the 2003 invasion."My great fear is indeed we will have to learn to live with Iran, and all its terrorist connections, with the bomb," Kay told NBC television's "Today Show".
Oh, boy. Well, Mr. Kay, aren't there other alternatives? Somehow I doubt that Israel is wasting a lot of time planning to "learn to live" with a nuclear Iran.
Calling the Tehran regime "toxic," Kay said on Sunday that the tensions over Iran's nuclear power program -- which the US believes masks an intention to develop atomic weapons -- differ from those which preceded the US attack on Iraq."This time we have a far more united multilateral coalition against Iran and we actually have the International Atomic Energy Agency condemning Iran for 18 years of cheating on its nonproliferation obligations," he said.
Now there's some moral foundation for a just war: the IAEA has condemned Iran. For 18 years. Eighteen. Years.
I mentioned a couple of posts ago that I've been reading the memoirs of General Heinz Guderian, architect of the German blitzkrieg tactics in WWII. He commanded the Panzer corps that sliced up, with unbelievable speed, the numerically superior French and British armies in western Europe in May of 1940. Guderian knew his tactics were risky, but he had evaluated his enemy thoroughly and was therefore confident of success. His analysis of the French high command was especially chilling--the French had the largest army in Europe, and the largest armored force, yet their commanders were so hidebound and backward-looking that Guderian easily predicted their reactions. The French wanted absolute certainty before they would commit to action, and Guderian knew there is no such thing.
Nothing has changed in 66 years. While the Leftists actively work for the defeat of the US; liberals look only to oppose Bush's every move; paleoconservatives argue with neocons; and the Europeans continue to channel take the path of easiest resistance, I fear the Iranians are having an easier time with the West than Guderian did with the French.
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